Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 60.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 19.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.62%) and 1-0 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-2 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Lecce |
| 60.52% | 20.2% | 19.29% |
| Both teams to score 60.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.91% | 36.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.8% | 58.2% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.4% | 11.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.4% | 36.6% |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.98% | 32.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.52% | 68.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Lecce |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% 2-0 @ 8.62% 1-0 @ 8% 3-1 @ 7.05% 3-0 @ 6.19% 3-2 @ 4.01% 4-1 @ 3.79% 4-0 @ 3.33% 4-2 @ 2.16% 5-1 @ 1.63% 5-0 @ 1.44% 5-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.55% Total : 60.52% | 1-1 @ 9.12% 2-2 @ 5.59% 0-0 @ 3.72% 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.2% | 1-2 @ 5.19% 0-1 @ 4.23% 0-2 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.45% Total : 19.29% |