Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | SPAL |
| 42.97% | 26.09% | 30.94% |
| Both teams to score 52.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.35% | 51.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.56% | 73.44% |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.13% | 23.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.94% | 58.06% |
| SPAL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.12% | 30.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.83% | 67.17% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hellas Verona | Draw | SPAL |
| 1-0 @ 10.56% 2-1 @ 8.89% 2-0 @ 7.57% 3-1 @ 4.24% 3-0 @ 3.61% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.79% Total : 42.97% | 1-1 @ 12.4% 0-0 @ 7.37% 2-2 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 8.66% 1-2 @ 7.29% 0-2 @ 5.09% 1-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.99% Other @ 3.01% Total : 30.95% |