Hellas Verona

1 - 5

Lazio

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.