Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 19.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 58.14% | 22.53% | 19.33% |
| Both teams to score 52.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.37% | 46.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.1% | 68.9% |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.26% | 15.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.16% | 44.84% |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.87% | 38.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.11% | 74.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 1-0 @ 11.09% 2-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 9.89% 3-0 @ 6.32% 3-1 @ 6.1% 3-2 @ 2.94% 4-0 @ 2.92% 4-1 @ 2.82% 4-2 @ 1.36% 5-0 @ 1.08% 5-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.31% Total : 58.13% | 1-1 @ 10.69% 0-0 @ 6% 2-2 @ 4.77% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.52% | 0-1 @ 5.79% 1-2 @ 5.16% 0-2 @ 2.79% 1-3 @ 1.66% 2-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.41% Total : 19.33% |