Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Genoa |
| 47.58% | 24.19% | 28.23% |
| Both teams to score 57.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.13% | 44.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.77% | 67.23% |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.02% | 18.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.48% | 50.52% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.66% | 29.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.68% | 65.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Genoa |
| 2-1 @ 9.43% 1-0 @ 9.25% 2-0 @ 7.69% 3-1 @ 5.22% 3-0 @ 4.26% 3-2 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 2.17% 4-0 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.25% Total : 47.58% | 1-1 @ 11.34% 2-2 @ 5.78% 0-0 @ 5.57% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.18% | 1-2 @ 6.96% 0-1 @ 6.83% 0-2 @ 4.19% 1-3 @ 2.84% 2-3 @ 2.36% 0-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 3.35% Total : 28.23% |