Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 37.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torino | Draw | Genoa |
| 37.35% | 25.33% | 37.32% |
| Both teams to score 56.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.83% | 47.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.59% | 69.41% |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.23% | 24.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.66% | 59.34% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.22% | 24.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.64% | 59.36% |
| Score Analysis |
| Torino | Draw | Genoa |
| 1-0 @ 8.57% 2-1 @ 8.34% 2-0 @ 5.98% 3-1 @ 3.88% 3-0 @ 2.78% 3-2 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 0.97% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.83% Total : 37.35% | 1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 6.14% 2-2 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 8.56% 1-2 @ 8.34% 0-2 @ 5.97% 1-3 @ 3.88% 0-3 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 2.71% 1-4 @ 1.35% 0-4 @ 0.97% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.83% Total : 37.32% |