Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 28

Jun 27, 2020 at 6.30pm UK

Sardegna Arena

Cagliari
4 - 2
Torino

Nandez (12'), Simeone (17'), Nainggolan (46'), Pedro (68' pen.)
Mattiello (32'), Cigarini (76'), Carboni (81')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bremer (60'), Belotti (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Torino, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Torino
39.76%	24.88%	35.35%

Both teams to score 58.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.73%

45.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.39%

67.61%

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.34%

22.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.71%

56.29%

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75%

25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.34%

59.66%

Score Analysis

Cagliari 39.76%

Torino 35.35%

Draw 24.88%

Cagliari	Draw	Torino
2-1 @ 8.66% 1-0 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 6.24% 3-1 @ 4.28% 3-0 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 2.97% 4-1 @ 1.59% 4-0 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.28% Total : 39.76%	1-1 @ 11.65% 2-2 @ 6% 0-0 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.88%	1-2 @ 8.08% 0-1 @ 7.85% 0-2 @ 5.44% 1-3 @ 3.74% 2-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.35%

Serie A

Cagliari4 - 2Torino

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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Cagliari
4 - 2
Torino