Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 45.67%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Cagliari |
| 45.67% | 25.89% | 28.44% |
| Both teams to score 51.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.01% | 51.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.27% | 73.73% |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.28% | 22.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.61% | 56.39% |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.13% | 32.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.55% | 69.45% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 11.06% 2-1 @ 9.12% 2-0 @ 8.2% 3-1 @ 4.51% 3-0 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.67% 4-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.11% Total : 45.66% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 7.47% 2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.31% 1-2 @ 6.85% 0-2 @ 4.62% 1-3 @ 2.54% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.53% Total : 28.44% |