Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Cagliari |
| 43.74% | 26.32% | 29.94% |
| Both teams to score 51.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.02% | 52.98% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.42% | 74.58% |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.93% | 24.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.65% | 58.35% |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.72% | 32.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.22% | 68.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 11.06% 2-1 @ 8.91% 2-0 @ 7.88% 3-1 @ 4.23% 3-0 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.69% Total : 43.74% | 1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 7.77% 2-2 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 8.79% 1-2 @ 7.07% 0-2 @ 4.97% 1-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 1.9% 0-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.68% Total : 29.94% |