Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Cosenza Calcio win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.