Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 4

Oct 18, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
5 - 2
Benevento

Pedro (31'), Dzeko (35', 77'), Veretout (69' pen.), Perez (89')
Ibanez (33'), Veretout (53'), Santon (65')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Caprari (5'), Lapadula (55')
Caprari (32'), Foulon (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday evening's Serie A clash between Roma and Benevento, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Benevento win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Benevento
48.32%	23.13%	28.54%

Both teams to score 61.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.17%

39.83%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.81%

62.19%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.26%

16.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.33%

46.66%

Benevento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.45%

26.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.24%

61.76%

Score Analysis

Roma 48.33%

Benevento 28.54%

Draw 23.13%

Roma	Draw	Benevento
2-1 @ 9.42% 1-0 @ 7.95% 2-0 @ 7.1% 3-1 @ 5.61% 3-0 @ 4.23% 3-2 @ 3.72% 4-1 @ 2.51% 4-0 @ 1.89% 4-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 4.25% Total : 48.33%	1-1 @ 10.53% 2-2 @ 6.24% 0-0 @ 4.45% 3-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.13%	1-2 @ 6.99% 0-1 @ 5.9% 0-2 @ 3.91% 1-3 @ 3.09% 2-3 @ 2.76% 0-3 @ 1.73% 1-4 @ 1.02% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.24% Total : 28.54%

Serie A

Roma5 - 2Benevento

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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Roma
5 - 2
Benevento