Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Benevento in this match.
| Result | ||
| Benevento | Draw | Bologna |
| 46.7% | 24.57% | 28.74% |
| Both teams to score 56.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.76% | 46.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.47% | 68.53% |
| Benevento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.11% | 19.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.99% | 52.01% |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.32% | 29.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.26% | 65.74% |
| Score Analysis |
| Benevento | Draw | Bologna |
| 1-0 @ 9.53% 2-1 @ 9.35% 2-0 @ 7.7% 3-1 @ 5.03% 3-0 @ 4.15% 3-2 @ 3.06% 4-1 @ 2.03% 4-0 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.94% Total : 46.7% | 1-1 @ 11.58% 0-0 @ 5.9% 2-2 @ 5.68% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 7.17% 1-2 @ 7.03% 0-2 @ 4.36% 1-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 3.27% Total : 28.74% |