Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 71.53%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 11.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.21%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-0 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | AC Milan |
| 11.2% | 17.26% | 71.53% |
| Both teams to score 49.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.4% | 39.59% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.05% | 61.94% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.08% | 44.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.13% | 80.86% |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.21% | 9.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.46% | 32.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Genoa | Draw | AC Milan |
| 1-0 @ 3.52% 2-1 @ 3.27% 2-0 @ 1.41% 3-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.99% Total : 11.2% | 1-1 @ 8.18% 0-0 @ 4.4% 2-2 @ 3.8% Other @ 0.88% Total : 17.26% | 0-2 @ 11.87% 0-1 @ 10.21% 1-2 @ 9.5% 0-3 @ 9.2% 1-3 @ 7.36% 0-4 @ 5.35% 1-4 @ 4.28% 2-3 @ 2.95% 0-5 @ 2.48% 1-5 @ 1.99% 2-4 @ 1.71% 0-6 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.66% Total : 71.52% |