Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 53.77%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 23.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 2-1 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AC Milan in this match.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | AC Milan |
23.53% | 22.71% | 53.77% |
Both teams to score 57.66% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.77% | 42.23% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.37% | 64.63% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.38% | 31.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.97% | 68.03% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.32% | 15.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.27% | 44.73% |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 6.09% 1-0 @ 5.71% 2-0 @ 3.29% 3-1 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 2.17% 3-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.68% Total : 23.53% | 1-1 @ 10.57% 2-2 @ 5.64% 0-0 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.7% | 1-2 @ 9.8% 0-1 @ 9.19% 0-2 @ 8.51% 1-3 @ 6.05% 0-3 @ 5.26% 2-3 @ 3.48% 1-4 @ 2.8% 0-4 @ 2.43% 2-4 @ 1.61% 1-5 @ 1.04% 0-5 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.69% Total : 53.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 55 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
7 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 35 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
16 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
17 | Udinese | 32 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 28 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
20 | Salernitana | 33 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 26 | 70 | -44 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |