Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Roma had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Roma |
44.48% | 24.04% | 31.48% |
Both teams to score 59.75% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.54% | 42.45% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.14% | 64.86% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.7% | 19.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.95% | 51.05% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.04% | 25.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.04% | 60.96% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Roma |
2-1 @ 9.14% 1-0 @ 8.24% 2-0 @ 6.78% 3-1 @ 5.01% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 3.38% 4-1 @ 2.06% 4-0 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.22% Total : 44.48% | 1-1 @ 11.11% 2-2 @ 6.17% 0-0 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.04% | 1-2 @ 7.5% 0-1 @ 6.76% 0-2 @ 4.56% 1-3 @ 3.37% 2-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 1.14% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.41% Total : 31.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 71 | 14 | 57 | 76 |
2 | AC Milan | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 62 |
3 | Juventus | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 59 |
4 | Bologna | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 54 |
5 | Roma | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 51 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 47 |
7 | Napoli | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 45 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 43 |
9 | Lazio | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 43 |
10 | Monza | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Torino | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 41 |
12 | Genoa | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 34 |
13 | Lecce | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 28 |
14 | Udinese | 29 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 26 |
17 | Empoli | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 25 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 24 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 56 | -23 | 23 |
20 | Salernitana | 29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 59 | -36 | 14 |
> Serie A Full Table |