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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Oct 26, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Roma logo
AC Milan
3 - 3
Roma
Ibrahimovic (2', 79' pen.), Saelemaekers (47')
Leao (70'), Ibrahimovic (75'), Hernandez (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dzeko (14'), Veretout (71' pen.), Kumbulla (84')
Pedro (77'), Cristante (81')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday evening's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Roma, including a prediction, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Roma had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawRoma
44.48%24.04%31.48%
Both teams to score 59.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.54%42.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.14%64.86%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.7%19.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.95%51.05%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.04%25.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.04%60.96%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 44.48%
    Roma 31.48%
    Draw 24.04%
AC MilanDrawRoma
2-1 @ 9.14%
1-0 @ 8.24%
2-0 @ 6.78%
3-1 @ 5.01%
3-0 @ 3.72%
3-2 @ 3.38%
4-1 @ 2.06%
4-0 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 44.48%
1-1 @ 11.11%
2-2 @ 6.17%
0-0 @ 5.01%
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.04%
1-2 @ 7.5%
0-1 @ 6.76%
0-2 @ 4.56%
1-3 @ 3.37%
2-3 @ 2.77%
0-3 @ 2.05%
1-4 @ 1.14%
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 31.48%

Head to Head
Jun 28, 2020 4.15pm
Oct 27, 2019 5pm
Feb 3, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 22
Roma
1-1
AC Milan
Zaniolo (46')
Manolas (18'), Zaniolo (21'), Pellegrini (63')
Piatek (26')
Suso (40'), Paqueta (53'), Kessie (72'), Calabria (90')
Aug 31, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 3
AC Milan
2-1
Roma
Kessie (40'), Cutrone (90')
Fazio (59')
Cristante (77'), De Rossi (88')
Feb 25, 2018 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan29244171145776
2AC Milan29195555332262
3Juventus29178444232159
4Bologna29159542251754
5Roma29156855352051
6Atalanta BCAtalanta28145951321947
7Napoli29129844331145
8Fiorentina2812794132943
9Lazio29134123633343
10Monza2911993236-442
11Torino29101182826241
12Genoa29810113136-534
13Lecce29610132645-1928
14Udinese29415102844-1627
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2968152639-1326
16CagliariCagliari2968152950-2126
17Empoli2967162243-2125
18FrosinoneFrosinone2966173760-2324
19SassuoloSassuolo2965183356-2323
20Salernitana2928192359-3614

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