Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 4

Oct 17, 2020 at 5pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Sampdoria
3 - 0
Lazio

Quagliarella (32'), Augello (41'), Damsgaard (74')
Ramirez (43'), Thorsby (64')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Parolo (12'), Caicedo (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 50.03%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	Lazio
25.93%	24.04%	50.03%

Both teams to score 55.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.09%

45.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.78%

68.22%

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.37%

31.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.96%

68.03%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.59%

18.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.44%

49.55%

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 25.93%

Lazio 50.03%

Draw 24.04%

Sampdoria	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 6.7% 2-1 @ 6.53% 2-0 @ 3.86% 3-1 @ 2.51% 3-2 @ 2.12% 3-0 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.74% Total : 25.93%	1-1 @ 11.34% 0-0 @ 5.82% 2-2 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.04%	0-1 @ 9.85% 1-2 @ 9.6% 0-2 @ 8.34% 1-3 @ 5.42% 0-3 @ 4.7% 2-3 @ 3.12% 1-4 @ 2.29% 0-4 @ 1.99% 2-4 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.4% Total : 50.03%

Serie A

Sampdoria3 - 0Lazio

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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Sampdoria
3 - 0
Lazio