Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 60.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 18.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 1-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 1-2 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 60.48% | 20.59% | 18.93% |
| Both teams to score 58.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.48% | 38.51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.19% | 60.81% |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.64% | 12.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.8% | 38.2% |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.19% | 33.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.52% | 70.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.13% 1-0 @ 8.74% 3-1 @ 6.9% 3-0 @ 6.37% 3-2 @ 3.74% 4-1 @ 3.61% 4-0 @ 3.33% 4-2 @ 1.96% 5-1 @ 1.51% 5-0 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.9% Total : 60.48% | 1-1 @ 9.48% 2-2 @ 5.37% 0-0 @ 4.18% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.59% | 1-2 @ 5.14% 0-1 @ 4.53% 0-2 @ 2.46% 2-3 @ 1.94% 1-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.01% Total : 18.93% |