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Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 29, 2020 at 5.55pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
3 - 0
Sparta Prague

Diaz (24'), Leao (57'), Dalot (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dockal (28'), Lischka (36'), Pavelka (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League encounter between AC Milan and Sparta Prague, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 20.81%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Sparta Prague win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawSparta Prague
56.82%22.37%20.81%
Both teams to score 55.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.08%43.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.69%66.31%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.75%15.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.08%43.92%
Sparta Prague Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.95%35.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.2%71.8%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 56.82%
    Sparta Prague 20.81%
    Draw 22.36%
AC MilanDrawSparta Prague
1-0 @ 10.05%
2-1 @ 9.91%
2-0 @ 9.45%
3-1 @ 6.21%
3-0 @ 5.93%
3-2 @ 3.26%
4-1 @ 2.92%
4-0 @ 2.79%
4-2 @ 1.53%
5-1 @ 1.1%
5-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 56.82%
1-1 @ 10.53%
0-0 @ 5.34%
2-2 @ 5.2%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.36%
0-1 @ 5.6%
1-2 @ 5.52%
0-2 @ 2.94%
1-3 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 20.81%