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Europa League

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Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 22, 2020 at 8pm UK
Celtic Park
Milan logo

Celtic
1 - 3
AC Milan

Elyounoussi (76')
Laxalt (65'), Christie (86')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Krunic (14'), Diaz (42'), Petter Hauge (90+2')
Tonali (82'), Donnarumma (83'), Saelemaekers (88')

The Match

Match Report

The Scottish champions were still smarting from their 2-0 loss in Saturday's Old Firm derby at Celtic Park when they had to contend with the Italians.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
CelticDrawAC Milan
39.89%24.24%35.87%
Both teams to score 60.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.85%42.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.45%64.55%
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.77%21.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.87%54.13%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.73%23.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.8%57.2%
Score Analysis
    Celtic 39.89%
    AC Milan 35.87%
    Draw 24.23%
CelticDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 8.65%
1-0 @ 7.66%
2-0 @ 5.93%
3-1 @ 4.47%
3-2 @ 3.26%
3-0 @ 3.07%
4-1 @ 1.73%
4-2 @ 1.26%
4-0 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 39.89%
1-1 @ 11.16%
2-2 @ 6.31%
0-0 @ 4.94%
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.23%
1-2 @ 8.14%
0-1 @ 7.2%
0-2 @ 5.25%
1-3 @ 3.96%
2-3 @ 3.07%
0-3 @ 2.55%
1-4 @ 1.44%
2-4 @ 1.12%
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 35.87%