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Europa League

Europa League | Third Qualifying Round
Sep 24, 2020 at 6pm UK
Stadions Skonto
Celtic logo

Riga FC
0 - 1
Celtic


Kamess (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Elyounoussi (90')
Brown (41'), Duffy (71')

The Match

Match Report

Elyounoussi scored in the 90th minute in the Europa League tie in Latvia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 53.25%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Riga FC had a probability of 20.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.27%) and 1-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Riga FC win it was 1-0 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Celtic in this match.

Result
Riga FCDrawCeltic
20.16%26.59%53.25%
Both teams to score 41.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.24%60.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.19%80.81%
Riga FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.57%45.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.72%81.28%
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.95%23.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.12%56.88%
Score Analysis
    Riga FC 20.16%
    Celtic 53.23%
    Draw 26.59%
Riga FCDrawCeltic
1-0 @ 8.26%
2-1 @ 4.78%
2-0 @ 3.26%
3-1 @ 1.26%
3-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 20.16%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 10.47%
2-2 @ 3.51%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 15.36%
0-2 @ 11.27%
1-2 @ 8.9%
0-3 @ 5.52%
1-3 @ 4.35%
0-4 @ 2.02%
2-3 @ 1.72%
1-4 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 53.23%

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