Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 3

Sep 16, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

St Mirren Park

St Mirren
1 - 2
Celtic

Erwin (3')
Fraser (34'), Erhahon (83'), Tait (86')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Duffy (21'), Forrest (36')
Brown (45')

Reaction

Celtic manager Neil Lennon pictured on August 22, 2020

Neil Lennon delighted with Celtic's second goal at St Mirren

The Hoops closed the gap on leaders Rangers to three points.

Sep 17, 07:39

Neil Lennon: 'We are missing the supporters'

The Champions are three points behind Rangers.

Sep 16, 21:55

The Match

Match Report

Shane Duffy and James Forrest netted for the Hoops after Lee Erwin's early goal.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 65.27%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 13.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.94%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a St Mirren win it was 1-0 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
St Mirren	Draw	Celtic
13.6%	21.12%	65.27%

Both teams to score 44.4%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.39%

50.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.48%

72.53%

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.08%

47.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.83%

83.17%

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.25%

14.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.01%

42.99%

Score Analysis

St Mirren 13.6%

Celtic 65.27%

Draw 21.13%

St Mirren	Draw	Celtic
1-0 @ 5.2% 2-1 @ 3.66% 2-0 @ 1.91% Other @ 2.83% Total : 13.6%	1-1 @ 9.95% 0-0 @ 7.07% 2-2 @ 3.5% Other @ 0.6% Total : 21.13%	0-1 @ 13.53% 0-2 @ 12.94% 1-2 @ 9.52% 0-3 @ 8.26% 1-3 @ 6.08% 0-4 @ 3.95% 1-4 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 2.24% 0-5 @ 1.51% 1-5 @ 1.11% 2-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.15% Total : 65.27%

Build-up

Boli Bolingoli-Mbombo pictured for Celtic in October 2019

St Mirren 'bitterly disappointed' at postponement of Celtic match

Wednesday night's Premiership fixture in Paisley was called off after Hoops defender Boli Bolingoli broke government public health guidance protocols.

Aug 11, 20:08

Scottish Premiership

St Mirren1 - 2Celtic

The Match

Match Report

Data Analysis

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St Mirren
1 - 2
Celtic