Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | St Mirren |
| 40.45% | 27.33% | 32.22% |
| Both teams to score 49.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.82% | 56.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.76% | 77.23% |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.76% | 27.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.34% | 62.66% |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.69% | 32.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.18% | 68.81% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 11.44% 2-1 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 7.44% 3-1 @ 3.65% 3-0 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.98% Total : 40.44% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 8.8% 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.33% | 0-1 @ 9.94% 1-2 @ 7.31% 0-2 @ 5.62% 1-3 @ 2.75% 0-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.7% Total : 32.22% |