Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 1

Aug 1, 2020 at 3pm UK

The Simple Digital Arena

St Mirren
1 - 0
Livingston

Tait (30')
McCarthy (13'), MacPherson (79'), Tait (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kouider-Aissa (84'), Ambrose (90+1')

Reaction

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Full-back Richard Tait scored the only goal of the game against Livingston on his Saints debut.

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Mirren in this match.

Result
St Mirren	Draw	Livingston
43.6%	26.85%	29.55%

Both teams to score 49.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.77%

55.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.54%

76.46%

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.86%

25.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.15%

59.85%

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.26%

33.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.6%

70.4%

Score Analysis

St Mirren 43.6%

Livingston 29.55%

Draw 26.85%

St Mirren	Draw	Livingston
1-0 @ 11.71% 2-1 @ 8.78% 2-0 @ 8.09% 3-1 @ 4.04% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.38% Total : 43.6%	1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 8.48% 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.85%	0-1 @ 9.22% 1-2 @ 6.91% 0-2 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.37% Total : 29.55%