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Europa League | Playoffs
Oct 1, 2020 at 7pm UK
Olimpijski Stadion Asim Ferhatovic Hase
Celtic logo

Sarajevo
0 - 1
Celtic


Dupovac (43'), Oremus (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Edouard (70')
Frimpong (89'), Klimala (90+3')

The Match

Match Report

The Hoops won their play-off in Sarajevo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 52.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Sarajevo had a probability of 22.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Sarajevo win it was 1-0 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Celtic in this match.

Result
SarajevoDrawCeltic
22.26%24.88%52.86%
Both teams to score 49.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.32%52.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.67%74.32%
Sarajevo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.42%38.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.67%75.33%
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.09%19.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.96%52.03%
Score Analysis
    Sarajevo 22.26%
    Celtic 52.85%
    Draw 24.87%
SarajevoDrawCeltic
1-0 @ 7.31%
2-1 @ 5.62%
2-0 @ 3.48%
3-1 @ 1.79%
3-2 @ 1.44%
3-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 22.26%
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 7.68%
2-2 @ 4.54%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 24.87%
0-1 @ 12.39%
0-2 @ 10%
1-2 @ 9.53%
0-3 @ 5.38%
1-3 @ 5.13%
2-3 @ 2.44%
0-4 @ 2.17%
1-4 @ 2.07%
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 52.85%

Head to Head
Jul 17, 2019 7.45pm
First Qualifying Round
Celtic
2-1
Sarajevo
Christie (26'), McGregor (76')
Tatar (63')
Oremus (39'), Tatar (42'), Milanovic (57'), Velkoski (71'), Serbecic (73')
Jul 9, 2019 6.45pm
First Qualifying Round
Sarajevo
1-3
Celtic
Oremus (29')
Lazic (9'), Velkoski (32'), Hodzic (59'), Ahmetovic (65')
Johnston (35'), Édouard (51'), Sinclair (85')
Ajer (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton36129153849-1137
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17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
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19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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