Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 59.99%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 17.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Genoa |
59.99% | 22.01% | 17.99% |
Both teams to score 51.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.56% | 46.43% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.28% | 68.71% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.94% | 15.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.43% | 43.57% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.48% | 39.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.79% | 76.2% |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Genoa |
1-0 @ 11.26% 2-0 @ 10.66% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 6.73% 3-1 @ 6.25% 4-0 @ 3.19% 4-1 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 2.9% 4-2 @ 1.37% 5-0 @ 1.21% 5-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.44% Total : 59.98% | 1-1 @ 10.46% 0-0 @ 5.95% 2-2 @ 4.6% Other @ 1% Total : 22.01% | 0-1 @ 5.53% 1-2 @ 4.86% 0-2 @ 2.57% 1-3 @ 1.5% 2-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.12% Total : 17.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 71 | 14 | 57 | 76 |
2 | AC Milan | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 62 |
3 | Juventus | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 59 |
4 | Bologna | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 54 |
5 | Roma | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 51 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 47 |
7 | Napoli | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 45 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 43 |
9 | Lazio | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 43 |
10 | Monza | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Torino | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 41 |
12 | Genoa | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 34 |
13 | Lecce | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 28 |
14 | Udinese | 29 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 26 |
17 | Empoli | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 25 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 24 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 56 | -23 | 23 |
20 | Salernitana | 29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 59 | -36 | 14 |
> Serie A Full Table |