Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 11

Dec 13, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

San Siro

AC Milan
2 - 2
Parma

Hernandez (58', 90+1')
Hernandez (35'), Calabria (80'), Kalulu (83')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hernani (13'), Kurtic (56')
Osorio (41'), Iacoponi (65'), Inglese (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Parma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 75.19%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Parma had a probability of 10.12%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 3-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.62%), while for a Parma win it was 1-2 (3.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Parma
75.19%	14.7%	10.12%

Both teams to score 55.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.06%

29.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.87%

51.13%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.33%

6.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.26%

24.74%

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.82%

40.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.19%

76.81%

Score Analysis

AC Milan 75.19%

Parma 10.12%

Draw 14.7%

AC Milan	Draw	Parma
2-0 @ 9.83% 2-1 @ 8.96% 3-0 @ 8.87% 3-1 @ 8.09% 1-0 @ 7.26% 4-0 @ 6% 4-1 @ 5.48% 3-2 @ 3.69% 5-0 @ 3.25% 5-1 @ 2.97% 4-2 @ 2.5% 6-0 @ 1.47% 5-2 @ 1.35% 6-1 @ 1.34% Other @ 4.14% Total : 75.19%	1-1 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 4.09% 0-0 @ 2.68% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.19% Total : 14.7%	1-2 @ 3.02% 0-1 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 1.24% 0-2 @ 1.12% 1-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.38% Total : 10.12%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Parma

AC Milan

90.7%

Draw

7.0%

Parma

2.3%