Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Benevento win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Benevento |
| 43.87% | 23.59% | 32.53% |
| Both teams to score 61.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.1% | 39.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.74% | 62.25% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.48% | 18.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.25% | 49.74% |
| Benevento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.91% | 24.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.63% | 58.37% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Benevento |
| 2-1 @ 9.03% 1-0 @ 7.52% 2-0 @ 6.34% 3-1 @ 5.08% 3-2 @ 3.61% 3-0 @ 3.57% 4-1 @ 2.14% 4-2 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.56% Total : 43.88% | 1-1 @ 10.7% 2-2 @ 6.43% 0-0 @ 4.46% 3-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.59% | 1-2 @ 7.62% 0-1 @ 6.35% 0-2 @ 4.52% 1-3 @ 3.62% 2-3 @ 3.05% 0-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.86% Total : 32.53% |