Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 11

Dec 13, 2020 at 2pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
1 - 5
Roma

Cristante (24' og.)
Soriano (53'), Vignato (63'), Mihajlovic (64'), Baldursson (78'), Dominguez (89')

FT(HT: 1-5)

Poli (5' og.), Dzeko (10'), Pellegrini (15'), Veretout (35'), Mkhitaryan (44')
Veretout (43'), Ibanez (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 46.96%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.05%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Bologna win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Roma
30.28%	22.75%	46.96%

Both teams to score 63.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.1%

36.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.93%

59.07%

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.04%

23.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.81%

58.19%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.87%

16.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.43%

45.57%

Score Analysis

Bologna 30.29%

Roma 46.96%

Draw 22.75%

Bologna	Draw	Roma
2-1 @ 7.2% 1-0 @ 5.52% 2-0 @ 3.95% 3-1 @ 3.43% 3-2 @ 3.13% 3-0 @ 1.88% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.84% Total : 30.29%	1-1 @ 10.07% 2-2 @ 6.57% 0-0 @ 3.87% 3-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.75%	1-2 @ 9.19% 0-1 @ 7.05% 0-2 @ 6.43% 1-3 @ 5.59% 2-3 @ 3.99% 0-3 @ 3.91% 1-4 @ 2.55% 2-4 @ 1.82% 0-4 @ 1.78% 1-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.71% Total : 46.96%

How you voted: Bologna vs Roma

Bologna

18.7%

Draw

25.3%

Roma

56.0%