Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 57%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 20.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-0 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Lazio |
20.66% | 22.34% | 57% |
Both teams to score 54.92% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.01% | 43.98% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.63% | 66.37% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.77% | 35.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.01% | 71.99% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.79% | 15.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.15% | 43.85% |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 5.59% 2-1 @ 5.49% 2-0 @ 2.92% 3-1 @ 1.91% 3-2 @ 1.8% 3-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.95% Total : 20.66% | 1-1 @ 10.52% 0-0 @ 5.36% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.33% | 0-1 @ 10.09% 1-2 @ 9.91% 0-2 @ 9.5% 1-3 @ 6.22% 0-3 @ 5.97% 2-3 @ 3.25% 1-4 @ 2.93% 0-4 @ 2.81% 2-4 @ 1.53% 1-5 @ 1.1% 0-5 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.63% Total : 57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 34 |
2 | Napoli | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 32 |
3 | Inter Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 31 |
4 | Fiorentina | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 27 |
7 | AC Milan | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Udinese | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
13 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
14 | Genoa | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 14 |
16 | Lecce | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 13 |
17 | Como | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 12 |
19 | Monza | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 9 |
> Serie A Full Table |