Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 52.33%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sassuolo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Genoa |
| 52.33% | 22.83% | 24.84% |
| Both teams to score 58.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.57% | 41.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.17% | 63.83% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.11% | 15.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.88% | 45.12% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.9% | 30.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.76% | 66.24% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Genoa |
| 2-1 @ 9.72% 1-0 @ 8.8% 2-0 @ 8.09% 3-1 @ 5.96% 3-0 @ 4.96% 3-2 @ 3.58% 4-1 @ 2.74% 4-0 @ 2.28% 4-2 @ 1.65% 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.56% Total : 52.33% | 1-1 @ 10.56% 2-2 @ 5.83% 0-0 @ 4.78% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.82% | 1-2 @ 6.34% 0-1 @ 5.74% 0-2 @ 3.45% 1-3 @ 2.54% 2-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.06% Total : 24.84% |