Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | Bologna |
| 40.13% | 24.74% | 35.13% |
| Both teams to score 58.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.37% | 44.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.01% | 66.99% |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.8% | 22.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.39% | 55.61% |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.17% | 24.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.59% | 59.41% |
| Score Analysis |
| Spezia | Draw | Bologna |
| 2-1 @ 8.7% 1-0 @ 8.29% 2-0 @ 6.24% 3-1 @ 4.36% 3-0 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 3.04% 4-1 @ 1.64% 4-0 @ 1.18% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.39% Total : 40.13% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 2-2 @ 6.06% 0-0 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 8.05% 0-1 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 5.35% 1-3 @ 3.74% 2-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.48% 1-4 @ 1.3% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.13% |