Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 6

Nov 1, 2020 at 2pm UK

Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy

Spezia
1 - 4
Juventus

Pobega (32')
Chabot (49'), Bartolomei (75'), Estevez (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Morata (14'), Ronaldo (59', 76' pen.), Rabiot (67')
Rabiot (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia Calcio and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 55.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 21.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Juventus
21.89%	22.89%	55.22%

Both teams to score 54.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.12%

44.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.77%

67.23%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.45%

34.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.73%

71.27%

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.88%

16.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.46%

45.54%

Score Analysis

Spezia 21.89%

Juventus 55.21%

Draw 22.89%

Spezia	Draw	Juventus
1-0 @ 5.92% 2-1 @ 5.74% 2-0 @ 3.15% 3-1 @ 2.03% 3-2 @ 1.86% 3-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.08% Total : 21.89%	1-1 @ 10.8% 0-0 @ 5.57% 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.89%	0-1 @ 10.16% 1-2 @ 9.86% 0-2 @ 9.28% 1-3 @ 6% 0-3 @ 5.64% 2-3 @ 3.19% 1-4 @ 2.74% 0-4 @ 2.58% 2-4 @ 1.45% 1-5 @ 1% 0-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.39% Total : 55.21%

Serie A

Spezia1 - 4Juventus

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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Spezia
1 - 4
Juventus