Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 63.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 17.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.95%) and 0-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Spezia win it was 2-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 17.5% | 19.43% | 63.07% |
| Both teams to score 59.39% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.58% | 35.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.55% | 57.45% |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.53% | 33.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.9% | 70.1% |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.26% | 10.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.31% | 34.69% |
| Score Analysis |
| Spezia | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 2-1 @ 4.8% 1-0 @ 3.93% 2-0 @ 2.15% 3-2 @ 1.96% 3-1 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.91% Total : 17.5% | 1-1 @ 8.78% 2-2 @ 5.36% 0-0 @ 3.59% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.25% Total : 19.43% | 1-2 @ 9.79% 0-2 @ 8.95% 0-1 @ 8.02% 1-3 @ 7.29% 0-3 @ 6.66% 1-4 @ 4.07% 2-3 @ 3.99% 0-4 @ 3.71% 2-4 @ 2.23% 1-5 @ 1.82% 0-5 @ 1.66% 2-5 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.91% Total : 63.07% |