Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 9

Nov 29, 2020 at 5pm UK

Stadio Sant'Elia

Cagliari
2 - 2
Spezia

Pedro (52'), Pavoletti (58')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gyasi (36'), N'Zola (90+3' pen.)
Ferrer (30'), Terzi (33'), Estevez (44'), Chabot (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Spezia
30.52%	25.2%	44.27%

Both teams to score 55.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.89%

48.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.72%

70.27%

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.61%

29.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.62%

65.37%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.27%

21.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.1%

54.89%

Score Analysis

Cagliari 30.52%

Spezia 44.27%

Draw 25.2%

Cagliari	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 7.82% 2-1 @ 7.31% 2-0 @ 4.79% 3-1 @ 2.98% 3-2 @ 2.28% 3-0 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.52%	1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.38% 2-2 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.2%	0-1 @ 9.75% 1-2 @ 9.11% 0-2 @ 7.44% 1-3 @ 4.64% 0-3 @ 3.79% 2-3 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 1.77% 0-4 @ 1.45% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.41% Total : 44.27%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Spezia

Cagliari

57.7%

Draw

33.3%

Spezia

8.9%