Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 5

Oct 25, 2020 at 11.30am UK

Sardegna Arena

Cagliari
4 - 2
Crotone

Lykogiannis (25'), Simeone (35'), Sottil (45'), Pedro (84')
Marin (31'), Lykogiannis (66')

FT(HT: 3-2)

Messias (21'), Molina (43')
Cigarini (17'), Magallan (52'), Benali (90+1')
Cigarini (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A fixture between Cagliari and Crotone, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crotone win with a probability of 49.51%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crotone win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Crotone
26.94%	23.55%	49.51%

Both teams to score 58.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.09%

42.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.69%

65.31%

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.73%

29.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.77%

65.23%

Crotone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.54%

17.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.06%

47.93%

Score Analysis

Cagliari 26.94%

Crotone 49.51%

Draw 23.54%

Cagliari	Draw	Crotone
2-1 @ 6.73% 1-0 @ 6.28% 2-0 @ 3.86% 3-1 @ 2.76% 3-2 @ 2.41% 3-0 @ 1.58% Other @ 3.33% Total : 26.94%	1-1 @ 10.95% 2-2 @ 5.87% 0-0 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.54%	1-2 @ 9.56% 0-1 @ 8.92% 0-2 @ 7.78% 1-3 @ 5.56% 0-3 @ 4.53% 2-3 @ 3.42% 1-4 @ 2.43% 0-4 @ 1.98% 2-4 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.84% Total : 49.51%

Serie A

Cagliari4 - 2Crotone

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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Cagliari
4 - 2
Crotone