Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Cagliari |
48.46% | 24.03% | 27.52% |
Both teams to score 57.23% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.36% | 44.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.99% | 67.01% |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.46% | 18.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.22% | 49.78% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.26% | 29.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.19% | 65.81% |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Cagliari |
2-1 @ 9.5% 1-0 @ 9.29% 2-0 @ 7.83% 3-1 @ 5.34% 3-0 @ 4.4% 3-2 @ 3.23% 4-1 @ 2.25% 4-0 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.4% Total : 48.46% | 1-1 @ 11.26% 2-2 @ 5.76% 0-0 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 6.83% 0-1 @ 6.69% 0-2 @ 4.05% 1-3 @ 2.76% 2-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 3.22% Total : 27.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 71 | 14 | 57 | 76 |
2 | AC Milan | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 62 |
3 | Juventus | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 59 |
4 | Bologna | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 54 |
5 | Roma | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 51 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 47 |
7 | Napoli | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 45 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 43 |
9 | Lazio | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 43 |
10 | Monza | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Torino | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 41 |
12 | Genoa | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 34 |
13 | Lecce | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 28 |
14 | Udinese | 29 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 26 |
17 | Empoli | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 25 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 24 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 56 | -23 | 23 |
20 | Salernitana | 29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 59 | -36 | 14 |
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