Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.