Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 57.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 20.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-0 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Lazio |
| 20.48% | 22.46% | 57.07% |
| Both teams to score 54.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.25% | 44.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.89% | 67.11% |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.15% | 35.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.37% | 72.63% |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.55% | 15.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.7% | 44.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cagliari | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 5.68% 2-1 @ 5.44% 2-0 @ 2.91% 3-1 @ 1.86% 3-2 @ 1.74% 3-0 @ 1% Other @ 1.85% Total : 20.48% | 1-1 @ 10.61% 0-0 @ 5.54% 2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.45% | 0-1 @ 10.34% 1-2 @ 9.91% 0-2 @ 9.66% 1-3 @ 6.17% 0-3 @ 6.01% 2-3 @ 3.16% 1-4 @ 2.88% 0-4 @ 2.81% 2-4 @ 1.48% 1-5 @ 1.08% 0-5 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.52% Total : 57.06% |