Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 10

Dec 5, 2020 at 2pm UK

Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy

Spezia
1 - 2
Lazio

N'Zola (64')
Bastoni (23'), Terzi (31'), Ricci (82')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Immobile (15'), Milinkovic-Savic (33')
Akpa-Akpro (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 48%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lazio in this match.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Lazio
28.23%	23.77%	48%

Both teams to score 58.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.02%

42.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.61%

65.39%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.63%

28.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.89%

64.12%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.93%

18.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.01%

49%

Score Analysis

Spezia 28.23%

Lazio 48%

Draw 23.77%

Spezia	Draw	Lazio
2-1 @ 6.96% 1-0 @ 6.46% 2-0 @ 4.07% 3-1 @ 2.92% 3-2 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 1.71% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.69% Total : 28.23%	1-1 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.77%	1-2 @ 9.45% 0-1 @ 8.77% 0-2 @ 7.5% 1-3 @ 5.39% 0-3 @ 4.28% 2-3 @ 3.4% 1-4 @ 2.31% 0-4 @ 1.83% 2-4 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.62% Total : 48%

How you voted: Spezia vs Lazio

Spezia

15.2%

Draw

16.6%

Lazio

68.2%