Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 11

Dec 12, 2020 at 2pm UK

Stadio Ezio Scida

Crotone
4 - 1
Spezia

Messias (7', 90+6'), Reca (49'), Henrique (56')
Messias (33'), Henrique (34'), Magallan (70')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Farias (18')
Chabot (3'), Ferrer (22'), Maggiore (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Crotone and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Crotone win was 1-0 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Crotone	Draw	Spezia
30.51%	25.48%	44.01%

Both teams to score 54.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.71%

49.29%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.65%

71.34%

Crotone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.01%

29.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.89%

66.1%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.65%

22.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.17%

55.83%

Score Analysis

Crotone 30.51%

Spezia 44.01%

Draw 25.47%

Crotone	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 8.07% 2-1 @ 7.28% 2-0 @ 4.86% 3-1 @ 2.92% 3-2 @ 2.19% 3-0 @ 1.95% Other @ 3.23% Total : 30.51%	1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 6.7% 2-2 @ 5.46% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.47%	0-1 @ 10.04% 1-2 @ 9.06% 0-2 @ 7.52% 1-3 @ 4.53% 0-3 @ 3.76% 2-3 @ 2.73% 1-4 @ 1.7% 0-4 @ 1.41% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.25% Total : 44.01%

How you voted: Crotone vs Spezia

Crotone

27.8%

Draw

29.6%

Spezia

42.6%