Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 50.91%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 25.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Bologna |
| 50.91% | 23.75% | 25.34% |
| Both teams to score 56.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.88% | 45.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.53% | 67.46% |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.23% | 17.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.54% | 48.46% |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.32% | 31.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.91% | 68.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Bologna |
| 1-0 @ 9.72% 2-1 @ 9.66% 2-0 @ 8.4% 3-1 @ 5.56% 3-0 @ 4.84% 3-2 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 2.4% 4-0 @ 2.09% 4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.65% Total : 50.91% | 1-1 @ 11.17% 0-0 @ 5.63% 2-2 @ 5.55% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.74% | 0-1 @ 6.47% 1-2 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 3.72% 1-3 @ 2.46% 2-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.71% Total : 25.34% |