Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 21.09%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 1-2 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
