Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.78%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 21.22% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.31%) and 0-1 (8.04%). The likeliest Crotone win was 2-1 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Atalanta BC in this match.
| Result | ||
| Crotone | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 21.22% | 21% | 57.78% |
| Both teams to score 60.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.96% | 37.04% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.77% | 59.23% |
| Crotone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.27% | 30.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33% | 67% |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.33% | 12.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.16% | 38.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crotone | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 2-1 @ 5.6% 1-0 @ 4.59% 2-0 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 2.28% 3-1 @ 2.2% 3-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.78% Total : 21.23% | 1-1 @ 9.49% 2-2 @ 5.78% 0-0 @ 3.89% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.26% Total : 21% | 1-2 @ 9.81% 0-2 @ 8.31% 0-1 @ 8.04% 1-3 @ 6.75% 0-3 @ 5.72% 2-3 @ 3.98% 1-4 @ 3.49% 0-4 @ 2.96% 2-4 @ 2.06% 1-5 @ 1.44% 0-5 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.99% Total : 57.78% |