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Champions League

Ajax
Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 9, 2020 at 5.55pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Atalanta logo

Ajax
0 - 1
Atalanta


Gravenberch (22'), Tagliafico (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Muriel (85')
Hateboer (60'), Freuler (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Ajax and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.18%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
AjaxDrawAtalanta BC
48.46%21.87%29.67%
Both teams to score 66.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.09%32.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.38%54.61%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.88%14.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.23%41.77%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.65%22.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.17%55.83%
Score Analysis
    Ajax 48.46%
    Atalanta BC 29.67%
    Draw 21.87%
AjaxDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 9.06%
1-0 @ 6.18%
2-0 @ 6.05%
3-1 @ 5.91%
3-2 @ 4.43%
3-0 @ 3.94%
4-1 @ 2.89%
4-2 @ 2.17%
4-0 @ 1.93%
5-1 @ 1.13%
4-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 48.46%
1-1 @ 9.26%
2-2 @ 6.79%
0-0 @ 3.16%
3-3 @ 2.21%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 21.87%
1-2 @ 6.94%
0-1 @ 4.73%
0-2 @ 3.54%
1-3 @ 3.47%
2-3 @ 3.39%
0-3 @ 1.77%
1-4 @ 1.3%
2-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 29.67%

How you voted: Ajax vs Atalanta

Ajax
56.7%
Draw
24.8%
Atalanta BC
18.4%
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