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Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 1, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Midtjylland

Atalanta
1 - 1
Midtjylland

Romero (79')
Djimsiti (30'), Romero (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Scholz (13')
Kaba (28'), Paulinho (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Atalanta BC and FC Midtjylland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.46%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawFC Midtjylland
31.77%23.4%44.83%
Both teams to score 62.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.73%39.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.4%61.6%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.77%24.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.42%58.57%
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12%17.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.35%48.65%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 31.77%
    FC Midtjylland 44.83%
    Draw 23.4%
Atalanta BCDrawFC Midtjylland
2-1 @ 7.49%
1-0 @ 6.14%
2-0 @ 4.35%
3-1 @ 3.54%
3-2 @ 3.05%
3-0 @ 2.06%
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 31.77%
1-1 @ 10.57%
2-2 @ 6.45%
0-0 @ 4.33%
3-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.4%
1-2 @ 9.1%
0-1 @ 7.46%
0-2 @ 6.42%
1-3 @ 5.22%
2-3 @ 3.7%
0-3 @ 3.68%
1-4 @ 2.25%
2-4 @ 1.59%
0-4 @ 1.59%
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 44.83%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Midtjylland

Atalanta BC
80.4%
Draw
12.4%
FC Midtjylland
7.2%
429