Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Crotone win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hellas Verona in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Crotone |
| 41.98% | 24.41% | 33.61% |
| Both teams to score 59.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.58% | 43.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.19% | 65.81% |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.2% | 20.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.54% | 53.46% |
| Crotone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.87% | 25.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.17% | 59.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Crotone |
| 2-1 @ 8.9% 1-0 @ 8.21% 2-0 @ 6.44% 3-1 @ 4.66% 3-0 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 3.22% 4-1 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.77% Total : 41.98% | 1-1 @ 11.33% 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.4% | 1-2 @ 7.83% 0-1 @ 7.22% 0-2 @ 4.99% 1-3 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 2.83% 0-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.25% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.61% |