Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 19

Jan 24, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
1 - 0
Cagliari

Destro (10')
Destro (18')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nandez (20'), Zappa (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Cagliari
44.35%	26.19%	29.47%

Both teams to score 51.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.34%

52.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.69%

74.31%

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.36%

23.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.27%

57.73%

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.54%

32.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.02%

68.98%

Score Analysis

Genoa 44.34%

Cagliari 29.47%

Draw 26.18%

Genoa	Draw	Cagliari
1-0 @ 11.06% 2-1 @ 8.98% 2-0 @ 7.98% 3-1 @ 4.32% 3-0 @ 3.84% 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.8% Total : 44.34%	1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 7.67% 2-2 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.18%	0-1 @ 8.63% 1-2 @ 7.01% 0-2 @ 4.86% 1-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 1.9% 0-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.63% Total : 29.47%

How you voted: Genoa vs Cagliari

Genoa

63.6%

Draw

24.2%

Cagliari

12.1%