Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 76.42%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-2 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Genoa |
| 76.42% | 14.58% | 9% |
| Both teams to score 51.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.73% | 33.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.96% | 55.04% |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.82% | 7.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.92% | 26.08% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.18% | 44.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.21% | 80.79% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Genoa |
| 2-0 @ 11.16% 3-0 @ 9.81% 2-1 @ 8.96% 1-0 @ 8.47% 3-1 @ 7.87% 4-0 @ 6.46% 4-1 @ 5.18% 5-0 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 3.16% 5-1 @ 2.73% 4-2 @ 2.08% 6-0 @ 1.5% 6-1 @ 1.2% 5-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.34% Total : 76.42% | 1-1 @ 6.8% 2-2 @ 3.6% 0-0 @ 3.22% Other @ 0.97% Total : 14.58% | 1-2 @ 2.73% 0-1 @ 2.58% 0-2 @ 1.04% 2-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.7% Total : 9% |