Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Roma had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.7%) and 2-0 (5.03%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Roma |
40.76% | 22.5% | 36.74% |
Both teams to score 67.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.65% | 33.35% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.87% | 55.13% |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.88% | 17.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.66% | 47.34% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.13% | 18.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.67% | 50.33% |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Roma |
2-1 @ 8.39% 1-0 @ 5.7% 2-0 @ 5.03% 3-1 @ 4.94% 3-2 @ 4.12% 3-0 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 2.18% 4-2 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.31% 4-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.32% Total : 40.76% | 1-1 @ 9.51% 2-2 @ 7% 0-0 @ 3.23% 3-3 @ 2.29% Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.5% | 1-2 @ 7.93% 0-1 @ 5.39% 0-2 @ 4.49% 1-3 @ 4.41% 2-3 @ 3.89% 0-3 @ 2.5% 1-4 @ 1.84% 2-4 @ 1.62% 0-4 @ 1.04% 3-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.68% Total : 36.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
7 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 35 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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