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Serie A | Gameweek 13
Dec 20, 2020 at 5pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Roma logo

Atalanta
4 - 1
Roma

Zapata (59'), Gosens (70'), Muriel (72'), Ilicic (85')
Malinovskiy (37'), Romero (39')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dzeko (3')
Pellegrini (36'), Mirante (57'), Mancini (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Roma had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.7%) and 2-0 (5.03%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawRoma
40.76%22.5%36.74%
Both teams to score 67.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.65%33.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.87%55.13%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.88%17.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.66%47.34%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.13%18.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.67%50.33%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 40.76%
    Roma 36.74%
    Draw 22.5%
Atalanta BCDrawRoma
2-1 @ 8.39%
1-0 @ 5.7%
2-0 @ 5.03%
3-1 @ 4.94%
3-2 @ 4.12%
3-0 @ 2.96%
4-1 @ 2.18%
4-2 @ 1.82%
4-0 @ 1.31%
4-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 40.76%
1-1 @ 9.51%
2-2 @ 7%
0-0 @ 3.23%
3-3 @ 2.29%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.5%
1-2 @ 7.93%
0-1 @ 5.39%
0-2 @ 4.49%
1-3 @ 4.41%
2-3 @ 3.89%
0-3 @ 2.5%
1-4 @ 1.84%
2-4 @ 1.62%
0-4 @ 1.04%
3-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 36.74%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Roma

Atalanta BC
43.0%
Draw
14.0%
Roma
43.0%
93
Head to Head
Feb 15, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Atalanta
2-1
Roma
Luis Palomino (50'), Pasalic (59')
Gosens (55')
Dzeko (45')
Mancini (11'), Mkhitaryan (27'), Fazio (88'), Perez (90'), Lopez (90')
Sep 25, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 5
Roma
0-2
Atalanta

Zaniolo (40'), Jesus (89')
Zapata (71'), De Roon (90')
Kjaer (25')
Jan 27, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 21
Atalanta
3-3
Roma
Castagne (45'), Toloi (59'), Zapata (71')
Dzeko (3', 33'), El Shaarawy (40')
Cristante (23'), Manolas (35'), N'Zonzi (64')
Aug 27, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
Roma
3-3
Atalanta
Pastore (2'), Florenzi (60'), Manolas (82')
N'Zonzi (58')
Castagne (19'), Rigoni (22', 38')
Djimsiti (81')
Jan 6, 2018 5pm
Roma
1-2
Atalanta
Dzeko (56')
Fazio (90')
Cornelius (14'), De Roon (19')
de Roon (28'), Caldara (30')
de Roon (45')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan33275179186186
2AC Milan33216664392569
3Juventus331810547262164
4Bologna331711548262262
5Roma33177959392058
6Atalanta BCAtalanta321661059372254
7Lazio33164134235752
8Napoli331310105041949
9Fiorentina32138114536947
10Torino33111393129246
11Monza331110123543-843
12Genoa33912123540-539
13Lecce33811143048-1835
14CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona33710163144-1331
16FrosinoneFrosinone34710174363-2031
17Empoli3387182648-2231
18Udinese33416133150-1928
19SassuoloSassuolo3368193965-2626
RSalernitana3429232673-4715


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