Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 13

Dec 20, 2020 at 5pm UK

Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia

Atalanta
4 - 1
Roma

Zapata (59'), Gosens (70'), Muriel (72'), Ilicic (85')
Malinovskiy (37'), Romero (39')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dzeko (3')
Pellegrini (36'), Mirante (57'), Mancini (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Roma had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.7%) and 2-0 (5.03%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Roma
40.76%	22.5%	36.74%

Both teams to score 67.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.65%

33.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.87%

55.13%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.88%

17.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.66%

47.34%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.13%

18.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.67%

50.33%

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 40.76%

Roma 36.74%

Draw 22.5%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Roma
2-1 @ 8.39% 1-0 @ 5.7% 2-0 @ 5.03% 3-1 @ 4.94% 3-2 @ 4.12% 3-0 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 2.18% 4-2 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.31% 4-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.32% Total : 40.76%	1-1 @ 9.51% 2-2 @ 7% 0-0 @ 3.23% 3-3 @ 2.29% Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.5%	1-2 @ 7.93% 0-1 @ 5.39% 0-2 @ 4.49% 1-3 @ 4.41% 2-3 @ 3.89% 0-3 @ 2.5% 1-4 @ 1.84% 2-4 @ 1.62% 0-4 @ 1.04% 3-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.68% Total : 36.74%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Roma

Atalanta BC

43.0%

Draw

14.0%

Roma