Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 12

Dec 17, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
3 - 1
Torino

Mkhitaryan (27'), Veretout (43' pen.), Pellegrini (68')
Peres (21'), Mancini (23'), Villar (56'), Calafiori (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Belotti (73')
Singo (7'), Lyanco (78')
Singo (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Roma and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 70.58%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Torino had a probability of 12.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 3-0 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Torino win it was 1-2 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Torino
70.58%	16.78%	12.63%

Both teams to score 56.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.8%

33.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.04%

54.95%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.63%

8.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.86%

29.13%

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.72%

38.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.96%

75.03%

Score Analysis

Roma 70.58%

Torino 12.63%

Draw 16.78%

Roma	Draw	Torino
2-0 @ 9.86% 2-1 @ 9.47% 3-0 @ 8.15% 1-0 @ 7.95% 3-1 @ 7.83% 4-0 @ 5.06% 4-1 @ 4.86% 3-2 @ 3.76% 5-0 @ 2.51% 5-1 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 2.33% 5-2 @ 1.16% 6-0 @ 1.04% 6-1 @ 1% Other @ 3.22% Total : 70.58%	1-1 @ 7.63% 2-2 @ 4.55% 0-0 @ 3.2% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.2% Total : 16.78%	1-2 @ 3.67% 0-1 @ 3.08% 0-2 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.46% 1-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.78% Total : 12.63%

How you voted: Roma vs Torino

Roma

83.9%

Draw

10.7%

Torino

5.4%